Georgia football: Passing yards? TD passes? Check out the first DawgNation over-unders for 2021

Tony Walsh

DawgNation has four staffers who cover Georgia football from every angle: Beat, Daily talk show streams, photos, podcasts, recruiting, videos, etc. The “Cover 4” is: 1) Present a topic; 2) Offer a reasoned response; 3) Share a brisk statement to support that informed opinion; 4) Pepper the page with photos for the big picture. For this edition, we share four pertinent over-unders for the 2021 season.


DawgNation’s “Cover 4” concept is a popular live show on our streaming media platforms and a timely content piece on, too.

We’re carrying over the format with a new way to look at the upcoming 2021 season. It allows the Cover 4 panel to explore to try to level set just what the expectations should be for this stout roster and the season up ahead.

That said, the quick in-and-out game remains. It is designed to come out as quickly as the two biggest teams in the Big 12 decided to take their talents elsewhere over the last two weeks.

The latest “Cover 4” topic is: The first pair of over-unders for the 2021 season

JT Daniels: 3750 passing yards

Georgia's JT Daniels speaks to reporters during a Southeastern Conference Media Days NCAA college football news conference, Tuesday, July 20, 2021, in Hoover, Ala. (AP Photo/Butch Dill)
Butch Dill

Brandon Adams: Over

Why: Despite the limited sample size, Daniels proved in 2020 that compiling passing yards won’t be a problem for him. It also helps that he has an offensive coordinator who seemingly wants to push the limits of the offense.

Mike Griffith: Over

Why: Only Mac Jones (4500, 13 games) and Kyle Trask (4283, 12 games) passed for more last season, but Kirby Smart and Georgia also have the personnel for a prolific air attack this season. It’s reasonable to think Daniels will throw 30-35 passes per game and finish around 4,000 yards.

Connor Riley: Over

Why: Assuming we’re using a 12-game regular season, it’s about 312 yards per game to get to that 3750 mark. With what we saw at the end of the 2020 season, Daniels and the Georgia offense proved capable of hitting that mark, even when the ground game wasn’t working.

Jeff Sentell: Over (Barely)

Why: I don’t see Daniels throwing in fourth quarters often enough to click off 4,000-plus yards in 2021. I do see the reserve QBs getting a lot of throws in not-so-contested games. Here’s another factor: Aaron Murray threw for 3,893 yards in 2012. That’s the only time a Georgia QB threw for more than 3,525 yards. Ever. Eric Zeier had two seasons of more than 400 attempts. David Greene threw it 438 times in 2003. They never got near 3,750. Football wasn’t so tilted toward the passing game then. But we’re still talking about something only one UGA passer has ever done.

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JT Daniels: 35 TD passes

Quarterback JT Daniels is one of the reasons many college football observers are high on Georgia’s playoff chances this season. (Curtis Compton/AJC)
Curtis Compton, Dawgnation

Brandon Adams: Over

Why: It seems like the answer should be “under.” After all, Aaron Murray is the only Bulldogs quarterback to throw 35 or more touchdown passes in a season. However, if Daniels doesn’t exceed that total this season UGA isn’t a legit national championship contender. The last two national championship-winning quarterbacks combined for more than 100 passing touchdowns in their respective years. That’s what the sport has become.

Mike Griffith: Under

Why: More to do with “style points” and Georgia wanting to assert physicality. Only a couple of teams on the schedule are capable of stopping UGA in short yardage.

Connor Riley: Under

Why: I’ll say just under. The Bulldogs still have some really talented running backs and in the red zone, Georgia and Kirby Smart will still feel plenty comfortable giving them the ball.

Jeff Sentell: Over

Why: I didn’t share a stout expectation for passing yardage this fall. That’s because I think the health for Daniels will be at an optimum for Georgia’s best chance to win its last three games for the coming season. I see Georgia playing at least 14 games in the slate up ahead and I see Daniels averaging about 2.6 touchdown passes per game and looking explosive in doing so. That would be 36.4 passing TDs in 2021. I think he can get more than that in 2021. The definition of a wide-open and explosive offense in my book means touchdowns and a lot of points.

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“Cover 4” in 2021 so far:

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