Georgia football: The recruiting tale of the tape gives the Bulldogs a major edge over the Vols
Want to attack every day with the latest Georgia football recruiting info? That’s the Intel. This rep takes a look at how well No. 1 Tennessee and No. 3 Georgia have recruited of late heading into this week’s SEC East showdown in Athens. For the purposes of this report, all the rankings discussed are from the 247Sports Composite scale.
Big game in Athens this weekend. No question. Regardless of the rankings.
It is one of those matchups which call for a deep dive into how well each program has recruited over the last four cycles. That will provide a general impression as to which team should have the edge in talent on Dooley Field inside Sanford Stadium on Saturday.
This game sets up as a contest that could show that recruiting rankings don’t really matter.
Or it could illustrate those do really matter in a game the whole country will be watching on Saturday.
The information found calls for a couple of quick disclaimers.
Recruiting rankings on a case-by-case basis do produce eye-openers: Hendon Hooker, the Heisman Trophy contender for the Vols, was ranked as a 4-star recruit as a high school senior in 2016.
He was then rated as a 3-star recruit by the 247Sports Composite going through the transfer portal out of Virginia Tech. He’s played far and above that ranking.
The same can be said for his counterpart in Georgia’s Stetson Bennett IV. Bennett was assessed as a 2-star senior back in 2016. He was then regarded as a 3-star signee coming out of the JUCO ranks in 2019.
Let’s also consider Tennessee receiver Jalin Hyatt: He was ranked as the nation’s No. 33 WR and the No. 197 overall prospect back in 2020. It is hard to imagine that there were 32 better receivers in the country that cycle than that guy.
He’s now the odds-on favorite to win The Biletnikoff Award this season.
Outliers will be there, but the big picture is telling: The example set by Tennessee OT Darnell Wright looms large here. Wright was a 5-star prospect in 2019. He is also performing at an All-American level this fall.
The Bulldogs signed four recruits with a 5-star ranking in 2020. That’s DL Jalen Carter, OT Broderick Jones, CB Kelee Ringo and TE Darnell Washington. Those four players will all play vital roles for the home side on Saturday.
Georgia holds a pronounced edge in 5-star signees over the last four cycles between these teams. The Bulldogs signed 18 recruits from 2019-2022 with that coveted 5-star ranking.
The Vols only signed two over that same period. The number bumps to three if we count a former 5-star in high school that was only a 4-star coming from the transfer portal. The Vols also saw another 5-star OT transfer away to Oklahoma. The numbers there yield a telling 18-2 edge, but it is not that simple.
The Bulldogs won’t have a single 5-star from their 2019 class available to play on Saturday. The subtraction of those five players reduces that gap to 13-2.
Nolan Smith, the No. 1 overall prospect in that cycle, is lost for the season with a torn pectoral muscle. He was the only one of those five on the Georgia roster when the season began. The ‘Dawgs sent three of their 5-stars from 2019 to the NFL last season, including the No. 1 overall pick in Travon Walker.
The examples reinforce the point there are outliers of prospects playing above and below their rankings. Some hit the bullseye on their prospect ratings. Others fall short.
Yet taken as a whole, those same recruiting rankings provide a solid blueprint for the types of players these programs have been able to sign over the last four cycles.
The big-picture findings will reveal a decided edge for the ‘Dawgs in the following areas:
- Average national recruiting ranking over the last four cycles: Georgia: 2.3; Tennessee: 16.5
- Average national recruiting ranking since 2021: Georgia: No. 3; Tennessee: 22.5
- 5-star signees over the last four cycles: Georgia 18, Tennessee 3*
- Offensive 5-star signees over the last four cycles: Georgia 6, Tennessee 3*
- Defensive 5-star signees over the last four cycles: Georgia 12, Tennessee 0
- Top 100 overall prospects signed since 2019: Georgia 39, Tennessee 7
- Top 100 overall prospects signed since 2021: Georgia 19, Tennessee 0
- 4-star signees since 2019: Georgia 59, Tennessee 29
- 3-star signees since 2019: Georgia 22, Tennessee 45
*-Includes a former 5-star in HS that was ranked as a 4-star player coming out of the portal
If one is of the opinion that recruiting rankings matter, those findings show the Bulldogs have recruited at a level since 2019 that’s about two clicks above what the Vols have done.
That’s the talent equation in the winning formula on Saturday.
The Vols have soared this season thanks to Hooker and Hyatt playing above those labels plus their schemes and the execution of their assignments.
Yet there’s an area where the Vols have been able to reduce the talent gap on the field. That’s a head-to-head area in which they hold a clear edge over the Bulldogs.
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The Vols have sought to supplement their roster through transfers
Hooker is the prime example to point out here. He’s not the only one.
There are transfers from Florida, Kansas, Texas and Virginia Tech all over the Tennessee starting lineup. Check out the number of transfers the Vols have brought into their program over the last few cycles.
- 2022: 8 total transfers (The Vols signed a 4-star signee and four transfers with a 3-star rating)
- 2021: 10 total transfers (Five players with a 3-star rating including Hendon Hooker)
- 2020: 4 total transfers (One player with a 4-star ranking and another 3-star transfer)
- 2019: 4 total transfers (One player was a 4-star recruit and another two transfers with a 3-star rating)
That’s 22 total transfers.
Georgia has built its roster differently. The Bulldogs have only brought in a total of nine players through transfers over the last four offseasons. Georgia didn’t bring in a single player via the portal during the 2022 cycle.
Tight end Arik Gilbert and safety Tykee Smith are the only two Bulldogs left on the roster that joined the program via the transfer route.
The number of transfers the Vols have brought in shows they take the field with an experienced veteran roster. They’ve signed smaller classes of high school players than the Bulldogs to reach the 85-man scholarship limit.
Tennessee has signed 14 fewer prospects out of high school than the Bulldogs over the last four years.
The roster-building method there says something, but we must also note 10 of those 14 came over the last two recruiting classes. That’s a clear indication Tennessee coach Josh Heupel wanted to bring in targeted players that fit the needs of his system.
Those transfer signees do not factor into a program’s national recruiting rankings that are touted on National Signing Day and at the end of every cycle. That’s one reason for the disparity in national recruiting rankings between these two national championship contenders.
The other key here for Tennesee is experience. The Volunteer defense is made up almost entirely of players that have been playing college football for at least three years. There were nine starters against Alabama that signed in the class of 2020 or earlier. The other two were class of 2021 prospects.
Let’s distill the point to this: The Vols line up 10 former 3-star recruits on defense, but they win with a lot of grown men out there. We can point to half of their defense that is now in at least their fourth year of college football. That’s a great equalizer.
The offensive starting lineup against Alabama also reflects the veteran core. There was one player who signed with the class of 2017 (Hooker), two from 2018, four from 2019 and another four from 2020.
It is no coincidence that’s why Vols execute what they do so well on offense. They have a lot of veterans mixed in with five former 4-star recruits and two former 5-star recruits on that side of the ball.
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Georgia vs. Tennessee: What else is there to consider?
Let’s face it. Those numbers up above are data-driven.
What do they actually have to do with winning a football team? Do the Bulldogs just have a blanket talent edge across the board?
Where are the Vols supposed to be strong? Which areas of the field will they depend on a lot of former 3-star recruits to play winning football?
Let’s pull out a few more examples and share them below.
- Georgia’s defense has the higher talent pedigree here. The Bulldogs had four former 5-star recruits in the starting lineup against Florida last week. They had six other 4-star recruits. The defense was also younger with eight starters signing in the class of 2020 or later.
- Think the Vols have had a hard time covering receivers this year? A deep scan of their recruiting classes over the last four cycles shows they have signed only two safeties and one cornerback that held 4-star rankings during that span.
- Tennessee ranks 12th in the SEC and 127th out of the 131 NCAA FBS teams in passing yards allowed this season. The Vols give up an average of 300 yards per game. The belief here is the previous bullet point directly relates to this bulleted item.
- Georgia comes into this contest allowing the second-fewest passing yards per game (177 ypg) in the SEC behind only Texas A&M. The Bulldogs also rank 13th nationally in that category. Georgia does lead the SEC in the fewest yards allowed (5.67) per pass attempt in 2022.
- The Bulldogs have signed 11 cornerbacks and five safeties that held at least a 4-star rating from 2019-2022. That will include one 5-star safety and another three cornerbacks that were regarded as 5-stars. The belief here is the previous bullet point also relates directly to this item. It’s not rocket science. Signing talented DB prospects lends itself to having an effective pass defense.
- The Vols are only giving up an average of 92.9 rushing yards per game. Those veteran players do know how to get their run fits in to slow teams on the ground. That’s No. 2 in the SEC behind Georgia and No. 9 nationally. The Bulldogs rank fifth nationally in only allowing 85.5 yards per game.
- Tennessee only signed one 4-star prospect in its 2021 signing class to play defense. That was at linebacker. Georgia signed 10 defensive prospects with at least a 4-star rating in that same cycle.
- The Vols signed 19 prospects with a 4-star rating for the offensive side of the ball over the last four years. That total was beefed up by seven wide receiver prospects, three quarterback prospects and three RB prospects. The recruiting emphasis placed on quarterbacks and receivers is a solid building block to having the No. 2 passing offense (353.4 ypg) among all NCAA FBS teams.
- Counting the transfer portal, the Vols have signed seven quarterbacks across their last four recruiting classes. The Bulldogs have only brought in four.
- During that same time frame, the Vols also signed five offensive linemen and a tight end that were also regarded as 4-star recruits. As a means of comparison, the Bulldogs signed 13 prospects with a 4-star rating for its offensive line room. Based on those numbers, the ‘Dawgs have a clear talent edge there across the offensive line.
- The Volunteers also added another five receivers via the transfer portal. Georgia signed eight 4-star receivers of its own and six of those are still on the team. The bonus for the ‘Dawgs there is they have gotten great production from 3-star prospects like A.D. Mitchell and Ladd McConkey at that position. We haven’t hit that point home hard enough here, but 3-star recruits are very good football players.
- The deepest stockpile of 4-star talent the Vols have signed over the last four years has been at OLB. They have signed six of their 4-star recruits to play that position.
- The top 100 recruits the Vols have signed over the last four years will include a pair of offensive tackles, one DT, one LB, one OLB, one QB and one safety. Georgia signed almost that many top 100 cornerback prospects alone (six) during that same time frame.
- The Vols did not sign a single top-100 overall recruit in either the 2021 or 2022 recruiting cycles. The way this team has performed minus the contributions of elite recruits from the last two classes is a testament to the job done by their staff this year. The veteran experience has also been key there.
- Tennessee signed three top 200 overall prospects in 2022. That included two players from the state of Georgia. The Bulldogs signed 16 players ranked that highly. Georgia signed 14 prospects ranked higher than the highest-rated Volunteer in the last class.
- Tennessee signed three top 200 overall prospects in 2021. Georgia signed 13 of the nation’s top 200 recruits that year. The Bulldogs signed 11 players ranked higher than the highest-rated signee for the Vols in that recruiting class.
- Tennessee signed six top 200 overall prospects in 2020. Georgia signed 14 of the nation’s top 200 that year, including 10 prospects ranked higher than the highest-rated UT recruit at No. 81 overall.
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